Government data shows a narrow window before reserves run thin, with no details on replenishment

The Government of Uganda has released its latest fuel stock position, revealing reserves that will last only until the end of April 2026. While authorities describe the stocks as “adequate,” the timeline has sparked concern among industry observers about the fragility of the country’s fuel supply chain.

According to figures posted under #OpenGovUg on 27 March 2026, Uganda currently holds 81 million litres of petrol—sufficient for 22 days—80 million litres of diesel (23 days), and 18.5 million litres of Jet A-1 (30 days). The statement explicitly notes that these volumes will sustain the country up to the end of April 2026, leaving no buffer beyond that point.

The disclosure, intended to reassure the public, instead highlights a critical vulnerability. With stocks covering barely three weeks for the two most consumed fuels, Uganda is now racing against time for new shipments to arrive before the current reserves are exhausted. Any delay in the import cycle—whether due to congestion at the port of Mombasa, foreign exchange shortages affecting letters of credit, or unforeseen supply disruptions—could tip the balance from adequacy into shortage.

Uganda relies entirely on imported petroleum products through Kenya’s Northern Corridor. The logistics chain has faced repeated strains in recent years, from tanker delays to currency volatility that complicates payments to international suppliers. The government’s announcement offers no update on ongoing import schedules or the status of financing arrangements under the country’s new oil supply framework.

While the aviation sector appears better cushioned with a 30‑day jet fuel cover, the tight margins for petrol and diesel are particularly consequential. These fuels power transport, agriculture, industry, and emergency services. A gap in supply, even of a few days, could trigger pump queues and price volatility.

For now, the situation does not constitute an immediate crisis. However, analysts note that the absence of a stated replenishment plan and the hard “end of April” deadline leave little room for error. The coming weeks will test the resilience of Uganda’s fuel logistics and the government’s ability to ensure a seamless flow of imports before the current stocks run dry.